Tuesday, November 5, 2024

The Political Pagan predicts...Harris victory!

 

Friends outside the USA have been asking my view of the election about to take place. Here is why I think Kamala Harris will win this election--though I know I could be wrong:
 
1. Trump is no longer a new, exciting, political figure. Many people are very sick and tired of all the Trump-related drama and stress, and though many of his followers are extremely loyal, some percentage may be dropping away and may come over to Harris. All she needs is for 1% of Trump supporters to give up on the Orange Fuhrer and she will be the next president. There are signs that this may be happening.
 
2. Harris is a fresh, exciting political presence, and she has run a very skillful, disciplined campaign, succeeding in distinguishing herself from Trump, showing herself to be thoughtful, intelligent, warm and positive, and also warning people of the dangers of Trump. She has struck a good balance between offering something positive (herself and the kind of ideas she has for programs that could really help people) and warning about something very negative (Trumpian chaos and Fascism).
 
3. The abortion issue is a huge problem for Trump, and a huge advantage for Harris. In case you don't know this history, Trump made clear in the past that he wanted to put in place Supreme Court Justices who would overturn the Roe v. Wade ruling that legalized abortion in the USA in 1973, and then went ahead and did exactly that, with Trump-appointed Justices overruling Roe in the 2022 Dobbs Case. In every election since 2022 where abortion has been an election issue, it has meant victory for the Democrats, who want to restore abortion rights, versus Republicans who have opposed abortion rights. I think this trend will again be a factor in this presidential election, and I expect that women upset about this abortion situation are going to turn out in large numbers to support Harris.
 
4. Trump's horrible rally at Madison Square Garden (MSG) last week was full of many awful, mean, insulting and racist statements toward many groups in America made by many speakers, and one in particular is proving hugely damaging to Trump. A comedian named Tony Hinchcliffe called the U.S. Territory of Puerto Rico a "floating island of garbage," and though he and others have tried to defend this as "just a joke," many Puerto Ricans and also other people of Latino descent are very angry, and this could shift hundreds of thousands, if not millions, of votes away from Trump and toward Kamala Harris. In the critical state of Pennsylvania, there are 300,000 to 500,000 Puerto Rican voters. If they all decide to vote for Harris, this could give her victory in the state, and then in the election overall.
 
5. Having spent time canvassing for the Harris campaign in Honesdale, Pennsylvania, I have seen the amazing, well-staffed campaign organization the Harris campaign has. I have heard that the Trump team does not have anywhere near the "ground game" that the Harris campaign has. I know that in some states, the Trump Republicans have outsourced their campaigning to outside groups such as Elon Musk-related group. I hear that these groups are not professional, not experienced, while the Harris campaign is highly professional and staffed with experienced pros. I think that this better campaign organization at the local level across the country will be a major plus for the Harris campaign, and could be decisive.
 
So, those are my reasons for optimism. There are also factors which could lead to a Trump victory, but I do not even want to mention them right now. I want to remain positive....

Sunday, September 15, 2024

The Strategy Behind Trump's Lies

I write this on Sunday, September 15. Since doing poorly in the debate with Kamala Harris on Tuesday, Sept. 10, Donald Trump has not been not backing away from his outrageous lies about Haitian immigrants in Springfield, Ohio, eating pets, but actually doubling down. Same with his Vice President nominee J.D. Vance. This is NOT the way to attract undecided voters, as this stuff is clearly both crazy and racist. So what is Trump up to? Here is my gloomy prediction. He is no longer trying to win the election. He is just trying to rally his right-wing, racist, anti-immigrant, xenophobic forces so that they will be filled with maximum anger and be ready to again attack when he loses the election and starts shouting, again, that the election was unfair, that it was stolen. Prepare for a Jan. 6 type event, or maybe multiple such events, all over again. Fortunately, Joe Biden will be in charge of American security forces to put down any coup attempt, but this could mean months or years of violent right-wing activity. I hope I am wrong about this, but I fear I could be right.

Tuesday, July 23, 2024

The Wheel of Time and the Will of Nature

Like many Americans of a liberal-progressive political disposition, I am feeling greatly relieved as well as inspired by the wise decision of Joseph Biden to step down as the Democratic party's presidential nominee and to instead call on Vice President Kamala Harris  to step into the role. Her performance in the two days since the baton was passed to Ms. Harris has beautifully demonstrated the qualities of forceful energy, verbal sharpness and joy in battle that had become so sorely lacking in Joseph Biden due to his advanced age. I now feel hopeful that the terrible Fascist juggernaut of Donald Trump and his antidemocratic forces can be stopped in its tracks, and a brighter horizon beckon.

There is something so poignant in this turn of events: the old giving way to the young, the turning of the wheel, the acceptance of time and season. To put this in Jungian terms, it is the elderly Senex giving way to the youthful Puer. Now Donald Trump, the sociopathic Trickster whose narcissistic confidence and red-faced bellowing gave him the appearance of vigor in relation to the frail and feeble Biden, has been exposed as an aging clown whose bluster and blather are no match for the moral clarity, righteous anger and laughing confidence of this far more youthful and quick-witted contender. The tables have turned. Of course, no one should underestimate the power of American racism and misogyny to boost Trump over Harris, but I am hopeful that some kind of cosmic re-alignment is taking place that will indeed result in the victory of Kamala Harris.

From a more specifically Pagan point of view, it may be that Mother Earth and the forces of nature are rising up to block the return to power of a man who has very clearly proclaimed his willingness to allow the heedless exploitation of natural resources to proceed with no limits, no regulations, no restraint, a man with absolutely no concern for all the devastation this will cause, all the suffering, all the scarring and degradation of our beautiful earth. Well, Mr. Trump, you thought nature was helpless: it may now be rising up against you.

This is my prayer today. May it prove true tomorrow and in November when the election takes place!

Sunday, August 20, 2023

The War on Reality

One of the greatest dangers of Trumpism is that it it is a war on reality. Trumpers reject most news media reports of Trump's misdeeds because they just want to believe what they want to believe, which is whatever pumps up them with the angry adrenalin that they have become addicted to. If we cannot start to agree on basic facts, Trump will go down in history not just as a destroyer of democracy, but as an assassin of reality itself, and we will be in a very dangerous, unstable world led by mindless but highly emotional propaganda.

Saturday, August 19, 2023

Cockroach Parable

 I came across a satirical piece on religion that I wrote some thirty years ago. Unfortunately, it seems just as relevant today as when it was first written.

Parable Exercise: The Virtues of Uncertainty (1992)

             There once was a man, otherwise quite unremarkable, who was distinguished by his indecision and uncertainty in matters which most other people considered of the greatest importance. When such a matter was under discussion and this uncertain man was asked his opinion, he would say only that he wasn't sure. When pressed as to whether he agreed with this or that theory or opinion which some other person was putting forward with great energy and conviction, he would only say, "Maybe, maybe not," or "Perhaps in some cases, but not in others." This kind of response made the uncertain man an object of not inconsiderable scorn, and eventually placed him in great danger.

            It so happened that in the time and place in which this uncertain man lived, there was great dissatisfaction and dissent among the people, their general prosperity notwithstanding. As a consequence, there arose various rival religious sects. Each bitterly denounced all the others, and declared itself to be the exclusive champion of truth, wisdom and justice. In this contentious fashion all of the rival parties were in considerable agreement, but to even discuss this with oneself in private, let alone in a public forum in the presence of other citizens, was considered extremely poor taste, and might even render a person liable to various highly unpleasant reprisals. The necessity of such punishments was another matter on which the rival groups found themselves in perfect agreement with one another, but to call attention to this point would subject one to even harsher reprisals.

            As each sect was always eager to enlist new converts in its unceasing struggles against its rivals, the uncertain man frequently found himself the recipient of the attentions of the representatives of one group or another, who sought to persuade the uncertain man to take up their cause. For instance, the group in favor of the abolition of most, though not all language once sent to him a spokeswoman who said to the uncertain man, "Surely you will concede that all too often, language is used to mislead and deceive people and stir up enmity between them." He responded,  "Perhaps in some cases, but not in others."

            She went on, "As a reasonable, intelligent person, you would have to agree that even much supposedly well-intentioned speech is frivolous and unproductive, as well as grammatically incorrect."  He replied, "Maybe, maybe not."

            The representative continued, "Then you will surely see the wisdom of our program for a ban on the 95% of language determined most offensive and injurious by our panel of experts, and the introduction of a hieroglyphic symbol-system, a copy of which each person would be required to carry with them at all times, enabling them to point to the necessary item at the relevant time, without causing offense to any class, gender, color, person or plant, fish, mineral or insect." The uncertain person answered only, "I'm not really sure." The spokeswoman from the group in favor of the abolition of most, though not all language left in a huff, cursing the uncertain man in no uncertain terms, and  displaying an impressive command of obscene, offensive and thoroughly vituperative language.

            As time went on, the number of such visitors calling on the uncertain man with hopes of converting him to their cause increased, as each group realized that the conversion of such a stubborn unbeliever would be an enormous public relations victory. 

            On one such occasion, a spokesman from the Society for the Glorification of Felines attempted to convince the uncertain man of the merit of eliminating all other forms of religion, even including gambling and spectator sports, in favor of mandatory cat worship. The representative argued that in contrast to the troubles and violent discords of the present time, spiritual peace and social harmony had been everyday experiences in ancient Egypt. The reason for this favorable state of affairs was that the people of the nation had understood that the cat was the living symbol of divinity, and had ordered their lives accordingly, worshipping the cat as intended by God, appointing a pharaoh to mediate between man, God and cat, and constructing pyramids in order to provide gainful employment for the masses.

            "And so you see," concluded the cat-worshipper, "that it is more or less a self-evident truth that a re-dedication to the enduring values of cat, pharaoh and pyramid is the only course of action that can save humanity from its headlong rush toward depravity and destruction." The uncertain man reflected for some time in silence, and the cat-worshipper was starting to feel guardedly hopeful when the uncertain man responded, "Maybe so, maybe not. I'm impressed by the passion of your conviction, and I'm sure you mean well, but that's no guarantee that you're completely right in all you say or that others are completely wrong. I am just an uncertain man, and I guess that's all I'll ever be."

            As the sects struggled amongst themselves, social conditions continued to deteriorate. Young people, seeing that their parents' and other adults' talk of `love', `peace' and other such ideals was no more than a hypocritical excuse for the daily practice of self-flattery, greed and intolerance, devoted themselves to materialism and violence, some even killing each other for a mere article of clothing. Older people, convinced that the nation's youth were ignorant, ungrateful and undeserving, refused to pay taxes, for fear that money would be wasted on social and educational programs for the young. When people turned to their religious leaders for guidance, all they found was a group of self-righteous fanatics, each eager to blame someone else for the problems of the day, while claiming a glorious future sure to come for the faithful.

            The sectarian rivalries became political and then military matters. Eventually, the leading clerics of the church of the Holy Cockroach, who worshipped the cockroach as the symbol of eternal life, by reason of its obvious hardiness and joie de vivre, as well as its reputed ability to withstand nuclear holocaust, seized power and began to persecute unbelievers. Citizens were arrested in the dead of night and brought before military tribunals, where they were asked but one question: "Do you believe in cockroaches?" Many people, unaware of the peculiar doctrines espoused by the Roachians and confused by the question, were unable to answer in the clear and unequivocal way expected of them, and instead responded with such questions as "What do you mean by `believe'?" or "Define `cockroach'". These poor souls, who had quite grievously overestimated their accusers' capacity for theological discussion, were executed on the spot.

            It happened that the uncertain man was summoned before such a tribunal and presented with the usual question. The uncertain man automatically responded in his usual uncertain way: "Maybe, maybe not. Perhaps in some cases, but not in others."            

            The Roachian clerics were taken back by this confident, ready response, as it seemed to suggest that a person could be aware of the divinity of the cockroach, and yet still be unwilling to devote their life to its worship. This possibility had never occurred to them, as previously they had thought that all those who had resisted affirming their simple creed must be devotees of the Antiroach, who were incapable of understanding the one true religion and who attempted to hide their actual, sinful convictions by dodging or debating The Question with fancy verbal trickery. Seriously facing for the first time the prospect of a belief which was neither completely identical nor totally opposed to their own, which seemed to share elements of their cherished convictions while differing on other points, the Roachians were thrown into confusion. The uncertain man was given a temporary stay of execution, while the elders of the church debated his case.

            Some believed that the uncertain man was the worst kind of heretic, bearing enigmatic words designed to gradually corrode their most essential doctrines, and that in light of the danger which he represented, he should be crushed like a bug, without delay. Others saw the uncertain man as a former believer who had fallen victim to confusion, and should be re-educated in the principles of the one true religion, so that he might again receive the grace of the divine insect.

            Still others saw the uncertain man as a prophet in disguise, come to reveal the further teachings of the cockroach. They saw his strange response to The Question, full of qualifications and ambiguity, as evidence of a deeper understanding of the inner mysteries of the insect, and they begged him for instruction. "Tell us," they asked the uncertain man, "what do you mean by the words, `perhaps in some cases, but not in others'? Does this mean that there are some cockroaches who deserve our worship, others who don't, some who are divine, some who are not?"

            The uncertain man responded, "Maybe, maybe not."

            "Do you mean it is impossible to discern the truth without first developing deeper spiritual insight?"

            "Maybe, maybe not. Perhaps in some cases, but not in others."

            "Do you mean that different people should worship different cockroaches? Are these different roaches one or many? What of the benighted lands where there are no cockroaches?"       

            The dialogue continued in this manner, with each uncertain statement of the uncertain man provoking further theological dilemmas among the Roachians. As a result of the ensuing roachological debates, the Roachians renounced their dictatorship and withdrew to the countryside to meditate on the further mysteries of their religion. Leaving the city, they issued a proclamation apologizing for the several hundred thousand murders which they had committed, explaining that it was all just a theological misunderstanding about the nature of salvation and the relationship of eschatology to entomology. They promised that it wouldn't happen again, at least not until the end of time, when the Roach Messiah would return in glory to usher in the metamorphosis of the blessed.

            The uncertain man, who previously had been an object of scorn for his noncommittal approach to religious matters, was now honored as a hero by a population grateful to have been delivered from the Roachian holocaust. There was now one question foremost in the minds of the people: Should they again practice religion, or should they abolish it, considering their recent traumatic experience?  The uncertain man was consulted for his learned opinion, and he replied merely, "Maybe, maybe not. Perhaps in some cases, but not in others."

 

Friday, August 18, 2023

Setting Limits on Trump and America's Slide toward Fascism

 Because I usually talk with people who share my low opinion of Donald Trump, I sometimes underestimate how high the opinion his followers have of the former president. So, I was surprised to hear a man on the street in NYC the other day say to his female companion, "He is the BEST THING that ever happened to this country, and now LOOK WHAT "THEY" ARE DOING TO HIM!" If and when Trump is convicted and sent to prison or given other punishment, there really could be an explosion of violence. But I think there is no way to avoid this. I learned a long time ago, working in mental health with schizophrenics and other disturbed people that it does no good to tolerate unacceptable behavior. We used to call it "limit-setting." If the legal authorities are unable or unwilling to set a limit on Trump, he may very well just go on to do more and more outrageous things and to encourage his followers to do the same. . I am praying for limits to be set. It is the only way America can even begin to get back to something like "normal."

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